
Counting the Wrong Stuff
11 minGolden Hook & Introduction
SECTION
Mark: In a room of 80 people, one person probably owns more shoes than 64 of the others combined. Michelle: Hold on, where are you getting that? That sounds like a made-up statistic for a comedy routine. Is this some kind of weird party trick? Mark: It feels like one, but it’s actually a weirdly predictable law of nature. A law that also explains why a tiny fraction of your effort produces almost all of your results. It’s a principle most of us think we know, but almost none of us truly understand. Michelle: Okay, you have my attention. If you can explain my shoe-buying habits with a law of nature, I’m all ears. What’s the source for this revelation? Mark: The ideas we're diving into today are from a book that explores this very principle, written by Mark Siebert. And what makes his perspective so fascinating is his day job. Siebert is a world-renowned franchise consultant—we're talking a guy who has worked with giants like McDonald's and Subway. Michelle: So you’d expect a book about secret sauces and standard operating procedures for burger chains. Mark: Exactly. But instead, he had this life-changing epiphany about a universal principle that underpins all growth, not just franchising. It’s a story that apparently began with him breaking into a cold sweat in the middle of a café. Michelle: A cold sweat over a business book? Okay, now it’s getting dramatic. What on earth was he reading?
The 80/20 Epiphany: From Idea to Universal Law
SECTION
Mark: He was reading Richard Koch’s classic, The 80/20 Principle. A friend had recommended it, and he’d just started it at a place called the Buzz Café. He gets to page 14, and suddenly, it hits him. He describes feeling a wave of cold sweat, grabbing his stuff, and literally racing home. His wife found him later, surrounded by papers, frantically punching numbers into a calculator. Michelle: I get being excited about a book, but that level of panic seems extreme. What was so revolutionary on page 14 that he hadn't heard before? Most of us have heard the 80/20 rule, right? 20% of your customers generate 80% of your revenue. It’s a business school staple. Big deal. Mark: That’s the key. He thought he knew it, just like we do. But his epiphany was that it’s not just a handy business statistic. It’s a fundamental, universal law. The quote that broke his brain was simple: "80/20 APPLIES TO EVERYTHING!" He realized it wasn't a metaphor; it was literal. Michelle: What does ‘everything’ even mean in this context? Like, it applies to traffic patterns and the popularity of Beatles songs? Mark: Yes, exactly that. And to prove it, he started running these real-time experiments in his own marketing seminars. He’d have a room of about 80 business owners, and he’d start with a simple, disarming question. He’d ask everyone to stand up if they were wearing shoes. Michelle: A low bar to clear, hopefully. Mark: Right. Then he’d say, "Okay, if you own fewer than four pairs of shoes, please sit down." A few people sit. "Fewer than eight pairs?" More people sit. He keeps doubling it: 16 pairs, 32, 64. By the end, the vast majority of the room is seated, and there’s just one woman left standing. He asks her how many pairs she owns. The answer? Around 80. Michelle: Wow. So one person in a room of 80 owns a wildly disproportionate number. That’s… oddly specific. Mark: And he didn't stop there! In the same seminar, he did it again. He asked everyone who owned at least one website domain name to stand up. Most of the room, being marketers, stood up. Then he did the same thing. "Sit down if you have fewer than 10 domains." People sit. "Fewer than 50." More sit. He goes all the way up… 200, 500, 1000, 2000… until only one man is left standing. A guy named Mickie Kennedy. Michelle: And let me guess, Mickie owned a few more than the average. Mark: Just a few. He owned 12,000 domain names. Michelle: Twelve… thousand? Okay, I see the point now. It’s not just that the numbers are unequal. It's that the scale of the inequality is predictably, astronomically huge, and it shows up everywhere, from something as trivial as shoes to something as valuable as digital real estate. Mark: Precisely. It’s a pattern, not a coincidence. Siebert’s epiphany was that he wasn't looking at a business rule of thumb anymore. He was looking at a law of nature, as fundamental and predictable as gravity. It governs the craters on the moon, the wealth of nations, and yes, even the number of shoes in your closet.
The Exponential Power of 80/20: Counting the Wrong Stuff
SECTION
Michelle: Okay, if it's a law of nature, that implies it has some real predictive power. It’s not just an observation after the fact. Where does the book take this idea next? Because if it's just about identifying inequality, that's interesting, but not necessarily useful. Mark: This is where it gets really mind-bending. He argues that because it’s a law, it’s also exponential. It compounds. He gives the example of a sales team of 10 people. The 80/20 rule says that two of those salespeople will likely generate 80% of the total sales. The other eight salespeople produce the remaining 20%. Michelle: Right, the top performers and everyone else. Standard stuff. Mark: But look at the math. The top two people are responsible for 80% of the sales. The bottom eight are responsible for 20%. If you do the per-person average, each of the top performers is sixteen times more effective than each of the others. Not twice as good, not three times as good. Sixteen times. Michelle: Sixteen times. That’s a huge difference. It’s starting to sound less like a gentle curve and more like a cliff. Mark: It is a cliff! And that’s just the first layer. This is where he says our linear-thinking brains fail us. We see 16x and think, "Wow, that's a lot." But the universe doesn't stop there. The 80/20 rule is recursive. You can apply it again and again. Michelle: What do you mean, apply it again? Mark: Think about it. 20% of your customers generate 80% of your revenue. But what about the revenue from just those top customers? The 80/20 rule applies there, too. 20% of that top group will be responsible for 80% of that revenue. You can keep drilling down. Michelle: Ah, I see. It’s like a fractal. The same pattern repeats no matter how closely you zoom in. That reminds me of the Richter scale for earthquakes. A magnitude 7 isn't just a little bit worse than a 6; it's a completely different category of power. It’s a power law. Mark: That is the perfect analogy. It is a power law. And this is why Siebert argues we are all "counting the wrong stuff." We are obsessed with averages. We try to make our average salesperson 10% better. But the leverage isn't in the average; it's in the extreme. He illustrates this with a brilliant story: the billboard versus the yard signs. Michelle: Okay, let's hear it. Mark: Imagine you want to drive traffic to your business. You have two options. Option one: you print 100,000 yard signs and painstakingly place them on the front lawns of 100,000 different residential streets. A massive amount of effort, spread out evenly. Michelle: Sounds exhausting. What’s option two? Mark: Option two: you buy one single, giant billboard and place it on the busiest expressway in the city, where 80% of the city’s traffic passes by every single day. One billboard. One action. The book’s point is that this single billboard will outperform all 100,000 yard signs combined. It’s not even a contest. The billboard is the 20% of effort that yields 80%—or more—of the results. Michelle: But the book makes an even crazier claim. It says you can get 'million-to-one' leverage. That still sounds like an exaggeration from a late-night infomercial. How do you get from a billboard to a million-to-one? Mark: Through that compounding, fractal effect. If you can apply the 80/20 rule to your results just five times in a row, the math gets you there. 20% of 20% of 20%... it shrinks the input to a tiny fraction, while the output remains huge. He points to global wealth. In 2011, just 10 countries generated 63% of the world's GDP. But even within that, the top 3—the US, China, and Japan—accounted for the lion's share of that. The pattern is the same whether you're looking at 196 countries or just the top 10. The winners are on a completely different mathematical planet from everyone else.
Synthesis & Takeaways
SECTION
Michelle: So the big takeaway here is that our brains are fundamentally wired to think in straight lines. We assume that if we double our effort, we'll double our results. We see all our tasks, all our customers, all our employees as having roughly equal value. Mark: Right. We live in a world of bell curves, where most things cluster around the average. Michelle: But the world of results—of what actually matters—doesn't operate on a bell curve. It operates on a power curve. A steep, unforgiving cliff where a tiny handful of things at the very top deliver almost everything of value. We’re trained by our education system to focus on the average, but all the magic, all the leverage, is hiding in the extremes. Mark: Exactly. And that's why Siebert says we're all 'counting the wrong stuff.' We obsess over improving the average employee or the average marketing campaign by 10%. We spend our time on the 100,000 yard signs. But the real breakthrough, the quantum leap, comes from identifying your top 1%—the one billboard, the one salesperson, the one critical task—and pouring all your resources into that. Michelle: It feels counter-intuitive. It almost feels unfair to ignore the other 99%. Mark: It does! It feels unbalanced, because it is. But his argument is that this is how nature actually builds things. It’s not fair or balanced; it’s effective. The challenge isn't to make everything equal. The challenge is to have the courage to identify your true high-leverage points and bet on them, even if it means letting go of a hundred other "good" ideas. Michelle: That really reframes things. It makes you wonder... what is the 20% in your own life that's generating 80% of your happiness or your success? And what's the 80% of stuff you do that only gives you 20% back? It’s a powerful question to sit with. Mark: It is. And we'd love to hear what our listeners think. What's your 80/20? Have you ever had an epiphany like this? Find us on our social channels and share your story. We’d genuinely love to read them. Michelle: This is Aibrary, signing off.