
Wild Problems
10 minA Guide to the Decisions That Define Us
Introduction
Narrator: Imagine Charles Darwin, the brilliant mind behind the theory of evolution, sitting down not to sketch a finch, but to solve a deeply personal puzzle: should he get married? He takes out a piece of paper and draws a line down the middle. On one side, "Marry," he lists the pros: a constant companion, the charms of music and female chit-chat, someone to take care of the house. On the other, "Not Marry," he lists the cons: a terrible loss of time, the expense and anxiety of children, being forced to visit relatives. He tries to weigh them, to calculate the best path forward, to solve the problem of his future happiness with logic. But can a decision that will fundamentally change who he is truly be solved like a math equation?
This very struggle is the entry point into Russ Roberts's book, Wild Problems: A Guide to the Decisions That Define Us. Roberts argues that we constantly confuse two very different kinds of challenges. Some are "tame problems," like finding the fastest route to Chicago, which can be solved with data and algorithms. But the most important decisions—who to marry, what career to pursue, whether to have children—are "wild problems." They are not solvable with a simple pro-con list, and trying to treat them as such is a recipe for frustration. The book offers a new framework for navigating these defining moments, not by seeking a perfect answer, but by learning to craft a meaningful life.
The Limits of Rationality for Life's 'Wild Problems'
Key Insight 1
Narrator: The modern world, steeped in data and analytics, tells us to approach every decision with cold, hard logic. We're encouraged to be like Darwin, creating cost-benefit analyses for life's biggest questions. Roberts tells the story of a friend who, with his wife, created a spreadsheet to decide whether to have a child. They listed all the quantifiable costs and benefits but remained completely stuck. The author’s advice was simple: you don’t have a child because it’s “worth it” in a calculable sense. The experience of parenthood, like many wild problems, is something that cannot be captured in a ledger.
Roberts argues that relying on measurable data for these decisions is like the old joke about the man searching for his lost keys under a streetlight. When a passerby asks if he lost them there, he replies, "No, I lost them in the park, but the light is much better here." We focus on what's easy to measure—like money or time—and ignore the things that truly matter but are hard to quantify, like purpose, love, and personal transformation. This leads us to search for answers in the wrong place, using tools that are fundamentally unsuited for the job.
The Vampire Problem: You Can't Predict the Future You
Key Insight 2
Narrator: One of the core reasons that a rational, data-driven approach fails is what philosopher L.A. Paul calls the "vampire problem." Imagine you are offered the chance to become a vampire. You can’t know what it’s like to be a vampire until you become one. You can ask other vampires, but their preferences—for blood, for darkness—are not your preferences. The person who makes the choice is fundamentally different from the person who lives with the consequences.
This is the essence of a wild problem. The Charles Darwin who made the pro-con list was a single man who valued his uninterrupted research time above all. He couldn't possibly know what it would feel like to be the married Charles Darwin, a man whose identity would be reshaped by his love for his wife, Emma, and their ten children. Making a decision based on your current self’s preferences is to ignore the transformation that the decision itself will cause. You are choosing for a future self whose values and desires you cannot yet know. This is why trying to simulate the experience, like using a robot baby to understand parenthood, falls short. It captures the sleepless nights but misses the profound, heart-expanding love that makes it all worthwhile.
Prioritize Flourishing Over Fleeting Happiness
Key Insight 3
Narrator: If we can't optimize for happiness, what should be our goal? Roberts suggests we aim for something deeper: flourishing. Borrowing from the ancient Greek concept of eudaemonia, flourishing isn't just about feeling good. It’s about living a life of purpose, meaning, integrity, and virtue. It’s about becoming the person you aspire to be.
This creates a fundamental tension, famously captured in John Stuart Mill’s declaration: "It is better to be a human being dissatisfied than a pig satisfied; better to be Socrates dissatisfied than a fool satisfied." A life of pure pleasure, like that of a satisfied pig, might have a high sum of happy moments, but it lacks the depth and meaning that come from striving, from commitment, and even from suffering in the service of an ideal. Flourishing is a Type 2 experience: it might be difficult and painful in the moment, but it creates an overarching sense of a life well-lived. Choosing a challenging career, raising a family, or moving to a new country for a cause you believe in are all decisions that prioritize flourishing over the simple, narrow calculation of pleasure versus pain.
Get Over Yourself and Join the Ensemble
Key Insight 4
Narrator: A major obstacle to flourishing is our tendency to see ourselves as the main character in a movie starring us. Roberts uses the clever hypothetical of Benedict Cumberbatch agreeing to play a minor role in a middle school play. Even with the best intentions, his star power would create a gulf. The other students wouldn't see him as a fellow cast member, but as the Benedict Cumberbatch. The experience wouldn't be a true ensemble.
We do this in our own lives. We walk into conversations armed with stories to tell and points to make, focused on our performance. Roberts urges us to adopt an ensemble mindset instead. See life not as your solo show, but as a collaborative performance. In a conversation, this means listening with full attention, ready to discover something new rather than just waiting for your turn to speak. In a marriage or a team, it means shifting from a "what's in it for me" contract to a "what can we build together" covenant. This requires getting over yourself, recognizing that a life of connection and shared purpose is far richer than one lived in the spotlight.
Privilege Your Principles to Become Who You Aspire to Be
Key Insight 5
Narrator: Making decisions that lead to flourishing requires privileging your principles. It means choosing to act in line with the person you want to be, even when it’s difficult. Roberts tells the powerful story of Teodora, a housekeeper at a lodge who found a valuable diamond earring his wife had lost. Teodora, a summer employee from another country, could have easily kept it. Instead, she left it on the nightstand with a simple note. She didn't perform a cost-benefit analysis; she acted from a place of principle. She saw herself as an honest person, and that identity was more valuable to her than the earring.
This isn't always easy. We can even trick ourselves into becoming better. In the story "The Happy Hypocrite," a wicked man named George Hell wears a magical mask of a saintly face to win the love of a virtuous woman. Over time, by acting like the good man he is pretending to be, his actual face transforms to match the mask. He becomes the person he aspired to be through practice. The lesson is that our character isn't fixed. By repeatedly choosing to act on our principles—by "feeding the good dog," as a Native American parable suggests—we can shape our desires and genuinely become a better version of ourselves.
Live Like an Artist by Embracing Uncertainty
Key Insight 6
Narrator: So what is the ultimate strategy for wild problems? Roberts suggests we should live like an artist. An artist doesn't always start with a perfect, preconceived plan. As William Faulkner described his process, he would create characters, put them in motion, and then "trot along behind" to write down what they did. The story emerged from the process.
Living this way means embracing several key ideas. First, create optionality. Like NFL coach Bill Belichick, who trades high draft picks for more lower ones, we should increase our number of low-stakes chances to learn. Instead of committing to a single, irreversible path, we can try things out—internships, short-term projects, new hobbies—to discover what fits. Second, we must learn to satisfice, not optimize. As in the story of Penelope choosing from 108 suitors, waiting for the absolute "best" is a trap. The goal is to find someone or something that is "good enough" to build a flourishing life with. Finally, it means being a great editor of your own life, willing to revise, adapt, and even "kill your darlings" when a path is no longer serving you.
Conclusion
Narrator: Ultimately, Wild Problems delivers a liberating message: life isn't a problem to be solved. It’s not a navigation app where you can input a destination called "happiness" and receive turn-by-turn directions. The most important parts of life are un-Wazeable. The book’s most powerful takeaway is the call to shift our perspective from that of an engineer optimizing a system to that of an artist creating a masterpiece. The goal is not to arrive at a predetermined destination, but to craft a life of purpose, to build meaningful relationships, and to embrace the journey itself.
The book leaves us with the final, perfect image from the comic strip Calvin and Hobbes. On a fresh blanket of snow, with a whole world of possibilities before them, Calvin turns to his tiger and says, "It’s a magical world, Hobbes, ol’ buddy... Let’s go exploring!" That is the ultimate challenge: to stop trying to solve your life and start exploring it.