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Subscribed

11 min

Why the Subscription Model Will Be Your Company's Future - and What to Do About It

Introduction

Narrator: In 2011, the software giant Adobe was at the peak of its power. Its Creative Suite, a collection of iconic programs like Photoshop and Illustrator, was a cash cow, generating over $3.4 billion in revenue with an astounding 97 percent gross margin. The business model was simple and effective: package the software in a box, sell it for a high price, and release a new version every couple of years. Yet, behind the scenes, the leadership team saw a problem. Growth was flat, driven only by price hikes, not by new users. So, they made a decision that seemed insane to Wall Street and their own customers: they decided to kill their golden goose. They announced they would stop selling boxed software and move entirely to a monthly subscription service. In the short term, revenue would plummet. Why would a successful company intentionally sabotage its most profitable product?

The answer to that question lies at the heart of a massive economic shift, one detailed in the book Subscribed: Why the Subscription Model Will Be Your Company's Future - and What to Do About It by Tien Tzuo. The book argues that Adobe’s risky move wasn't an act of self-destruction but a brilliant, necessary pivot to survive and thrive in a new world—a world where customers no longer want to own products, but instead want access to outcomes.

The End of Ownership: From Products to Outcomes

Key Insight 1

Narrator: The 20th-century economy was built on a simple premise: create a hit product and sell as many units as possible. This product-centric model, taught in business schools for decades, focused on manufacturing, distribution, and one-time sales. Companies had little to no direct relationship with their end-users. A company like General Electric sold jet engines to airlines, and their business was done.

Tzuo argues this era is over. We are now in the "Age of the Customer," where empowered consumers demand services and experiences, not just physical goods. The new business model is circular and dynamic, starting and ending with the customer. It’s a fundamental shift from selling products to delivering ongoing services that produce a desired outcome. For example, GE no longer just sells jet engines; it sells "uptime" and "thrust" as a service, using IoT sensors to monitor engine performance and guarantee reliability. This is the core of the Subscription Economy: customers aren't buying a thing; they are subscribing to a result. This isn't a niche trend. The data shows the consequences of ignoring this shift. The average lifespan of a Fortune 500 company has plummeted from 75 years in 1975 to just 15 years today, largely because legacy companies failed to adapt from a product-centric to a customer-centric world.

Flipping the Script: How Industries are Adapting

Key Insight 2

Narrator: This transformation is not confined to the tech industry. It is reshaping every sector, from retail to media to manufacturing. The book highlights Fender, the iconic guitar manufacturer, as a prime example. Fender discovered a startling statistic: 90 percent of first-time guitar buyers abandon the instrument within a year. Their biggest problem wasn't selling more guitars; it was the high churn rate of new musicians.

Instead of just selling a product, Fender decided to sell an outcome: turning buyers into lifelong players. They launched Fender Play, a subscription-based online teaching service. By helping customers succeed, they not only created a new recurring revenue stream but also ensured those customers would eventually buy more Fender guitars and amps. They flipped the script from "selling guitars" to "creating musicians." Similarly, in retail, the battle is not between e-commerce and brick-and-mortar stores, but between customer-centric and product-centric models. Amazon’s success isn’t just about logistics; it’s about its deep, data-driven understanding of its customers, embodied by its Prime subscription. Traditional retailers are learning they must use their physical stores not just to move inventory, but to create experiences that build a direct, ongoing relationship with the shopper.

The Fish Model: Navigating the Painful Transition

Key Insight 3

Narrator: For established companies, moving to a subscription model is a daunting process. Tzuo illustrates this with what he calls the "Fish Model." When a company like Adobe pivots from selling high-priced perpetual licenses to low-priced monthly subscriptions, its revenue takes an immediate, sharp dive. At the same time, its expenses increase as it invests in the new infrastructure needed to support subscribers. On a graph, the downward curve of revenue and the upward curve of expenses create a shape that looks like a fish.

This is the moment of maximum peril. The company appears to be failing, and investors often panic. Adobe’s stock initially tumbled after their announcement. However, as the subscriber base grows, the recurring revenue line begins to climb, eventually crossing the old revenue line and soaring to new heights. Adobe’s stock price ultimately increased tenfold. Swallowing the fish requires immense courage and a clear, long-term vision. It also requires a new financial language. Instead of focusing on quarterly bookings, finance teams must master new metrics like Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), churn rate, and Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) to accurately measure the health of the business.

The New Playbook: Rewiring the Entire Organization

Key Insight 4

Narrator: Adopting a subscription model is not a simple marketing or pricing change; it requires rewiring the entire organization. The traditional, siloed structure of companies—where marketing, sales, product, and IT operate independently—is a major obstacle. Tzuo calls the moment a company realizes the depth of this challenge the "WTF moment."

Marketing must rethink the classic "Four P's." The Product is no longer a static object but an evolving service. Place (distribution) shifts from indirect channels to a direct relationship with the customer. Promotion becomes less about advertising campaigns and more about the customer's experience and word-of-mouth. And Pricing becomes the most critical lever, based on the value delivered, not the cost of goods. Sales must also transform. The goal is no longer a one-time transaction but the start of a long-term relationship. The new growth strategies are not about pushing units but about acquiring the right customers, minimizing churn, and systematically increasing customer value through upsells and cross-sells.

Subscribers, Not SKUs: The New Technological Backbone

Key Insight 5

Narrator: The operational backbone of most traditional companies is the Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system, which is built to manage a linear process: making, shipping, and selling physical products identified by a Stock Keeping Unit (SKU). These systems are fundamentally incompatible with the dynamic, circular nature of a subscription relationship.

A subscriber might upgrade, downgrade, pause, or renew their service at any time. An ERP system built for SKUs simply cannot handle these constant changes. This forces companies into a chaotic mess of spreadsheets and manual workarounds, leading to billing errors and poor customer experiences. The solution, Tzuo argues, is a new IT architecture built around a single, central hub: the subscriber ID. This new system must be able to manage the entire subscriber lifecycle, from acquisition to billing, revenue recognition, and analytics. It must be agile enough to allow for rapid experimentation with pricing and packaging, turning IT from a cost center into a strategic enabler of growth.

The Proof is in the Growth: The Subscription Economy Index

Key Insight 6

Narrator: To prove that this is more than just a theory, Tzuo’s company, Zuora, created the Subscription Economy Index (SEI). This index tracks the growth of hundreds of subscription-based companies and compares it to traditional benchmarks. The results are staggering. Between 2012 and 2017, subscription businesses grew their revenue about nine times faster than the S&P 500 and five times faster than U.S. retail sales.

This growth is driven by two key levers: acquiring more subscribers (net account growth) and increasing the value of existing subscribers (Average Revenue Per Account, or ARPA). The data shows that successful companies master both. This empirical evidence validates the core argument of the book: the subscription model is not just a different way to do business; it is a demonstrably more powerful engine for growth in the modern economy.

Conclusion

Narrator: The single most important takeaway from Subscribed is that the shift to a service-based, customer-centric model is an irreversible and accelerating trend. Success is no longer defined by the products a company sells, but by the ongoing value it delivers to its subscribers. This is not a superficial change in pricing; it is a top-to-bottom transformation of a company's culture, operations, and technology.

The book leaves readers with a profound challenge. It forces them to look at their own organizations and ask a difficult question: Is your business built to push products out the door, or is it built to nurture a customer relationship for life? In the Subscription Economy, the answer to that question will determine who wins and who gets left behind.

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