
Open
9 minThe Story of Human Progress
Introduction
Narrator: In 1991, hikers in the Ötztal Alps stumbled upon a stunning discovery: a human body, perfectly preserved in the ice for over 5,300 years. This was Ötzi the Iceman, a man from the Copper Age. But as scientists studied him, the most remarkable discovery wasn't his age, but his belongings. His copper axe came from ores mined in Tuscany, over 100 miles to the south. His flint knife came from a different region entirely. His shoes were a complex assembly of materials sourced from various animals and plants, crafted by a specialist cobbler. Ötzi, a prehistoric man, was a walking testament to a vast, ancient network of trade, specialization, and cooperation. He was a trader. Yet, he died a violent death, shot in the back with an arrow, a victim of conflict—the tribalist. This 5,300-year-old man embodies the central, timeless conflict of the human story. In his book, Open: The Story of Human Progress, author Johan Norberg argues that this very tension—between our instinct to cooperate and our instinct to form tribes—is what has defined our history and will determine our future.
The Trader and the Tribalist: Humanity's Core Conflict
Key Insight 1
Narrator: Norberg’s central thesis is that human nature is defined by a fundamental duality. On one hand, we are "traders," possessing an innate ability to cooperate, exchange ideas, and engage in mutually beneficial relationships. This is the force that drove Ötzi’s world, allowing for specialization and the creation of tools he could not have made alone. It is the engine of what we call civilization. On the other hand, we are "tribalists," hardwired to form in-groups, view outsiders with suspicion, and compete for dominance. This instinct for group loyalty was essential for survival in a dangerous, prehistoric world.
The economist Friedrich Hayek captured this tension perfectly, noting that we must learn to live in two worlds at once. If we applied the rules of our small tribe or family to our global civilization, we would destroy it with suspicion and favoritism. Yet, if we applied the cold, impersonal rules of global commerce to our families, we would crush them. The story of human progress, Norberg argues, is the story of the "trader" side winning out, creating an "open society" where exchange, migration, and new ideas are allowed to flourish. But this victory is never permanent. The tribalist instinct is always lurking, ready to re-emerge, especially in times of fear, crisis, or uncertainty, tempting us to close our doors and our minds.
The Tribal Mind: Why We Instinctively Create 'Us vs. Them'
Key Insight 2
Narrator: To understand why the open society is so fragile, Norberg delves into the psychology of our tribal mind. He shows that our tendency to create an "us" and a "them" is not necessarily born of malice, but of a deep-seated cognitive shortcut. This was powerfully demonstrated in the famous Robbers Cave experiment of 1954.
In the experiment, social psychologist Muzafer Sherif took twenty-two ordinary, well-adjusted eleven-year-old boys to a summer camp. They were all white, Protestant, and from similar middle-class backgrounds. They were deliberately separated into two groups, the "Rattlers" and the "Eagles," and kept apart for a week to allow them to bond. When the groups were finally introduced, hostility was almost immediate. Sherif then introduced a series of competitions, like baseball and tug-of-war. The rivalry quickly escalated from name-calling to burning each other's flags and raiding each other's cabins. Within two weeks, these identical boys had formed two distinct tribes who genuinely despised one another. Sherif’s conclusion was profound: conflict does not require any real differences in race, religion, or nationality. It can be provoked between any set of groups simply by placing them in a context of rivalry and a struggle for limited resources. This experiment reveals our default setting: when we feel threatened or competitive, our world shrinks to "us," and our primary goal becomes beating "them."
The Positive-Sum Power of Openness
Key Insight 3
Narrator: The tribalist instinct is often fueled by zero-sum thinking—the belief that one group’s gain must be another’s loss. Norberg argues this is a fundamental misunderstanding of how progress works. Openness, particularly to trade and ideas, is a positive-sum game where exchange creates new value for everyone. To illustrate this, he points to the dramatic history of China.
For centuries, China was the world's most advanced and prosperous civilization. Its openness to internal trade and new ideas during the Song Dynasty (960-1279) led to an economic revolution, with innovations like paper money, printing, and gunpowder. However, in the centuries that followed, its imperial rulers grew fearful of outside influence and internal dissent. They closed China’s ports and its mind, turning inward. The result was centuries of stagnation, poverty, and decline while an opening Europe surged ahead. Then, in 1979, China began to partially reopen its economy to the world. The result was the single greatest reduction of poverty in human history, as hundreds of millions were lifted into the middle class. China’s story is a powerful, large-scale demonstration of Norberg's core argument: openness is the wellspring of prosperity, while a closed society, no matter how powerful, is destined for decline.
The Real Battle: Open vs. Closed Within Every Society
Key Insight 4
Narrator: In the final part of his book, Norberg brings the argument to the present day, challenging a popular theory about global conflict. After the Cold War, political scientist Samuel Huntington famously predicted a "Clash of Civilizations," where future wars would be fought between major cultural blocs like the West, the Islamic world, and China. Norberg contends this view is wrong. The most significant and consequential conflicts are not between civilizations, but within them.
The true battle line in every country is between those who advocate for an open society and those who, driven by fear, anxiety, and nostalgia, want to close it. These "closed" movements are often led by populist leaders who exploit our tribal instincts. They rally against outsiders, attack independent institutions like the press and judiciary, and promise a return to a mythical, golden past. Norberg presents stark data showing that under such leaders, countries see a measurable decline in civil liberties, political rights, and press freedom, while corruption often increases. The struggle is not West versus East, but a universal human struggle. It is the fight between the part of us that wants to build bridges and the part that wants to build walls.
Conclusion
Narrator: The single most important takeaway from Open is that human progress is not our natural destiny. It is a fragile and often accidental achievement, born from the moments when our cooperative, "trader" instincts managed to overcome our powerful, tribalist defaults. Civilization, Norberg suggests, is the beautiful and unlikely outcome of allowing for experimentation, dissent, and exchange—of letting a thousand flowers bloom, even when some are weeds.
The book leaves us with a profound challenge, best captured by Leonard Cohen’s lyric, "There is a crack in everything, that's how the light gets in." Openness is messy. It creates cracks in our society—economic disruption from new technology, cultural friction from migration, and intellectual challenges to cherished beliefs. The tribalist instinct is to panic and seal those cracks, to retreat into the perceived safety of a closed, uniform world. Norberg’s ultimate message is a call for courage: to resist that temptation. He argues that the only way to solve the problems created by openness is with more openness, because it is through those very cracks that the light of innovation, new solutions, and a better future can enter. The question he leaves us with is whether we will have the wisdom to let that light in.