
Competition Demystified
12 minA Radically Simplified Approach to Business Strategy
Introduction
Narrator: Imagine a marketplace filled with dozens of companies, all making a similar product. One company innovates, introducing a new feature that boosts its profits. Within months, every competitor has copied it, and the extra profit vanishes. Another company discovers a cost-saving manufacturing process. Soon, that too is replicated, and the advantage is gone. In this environment, competition is a relentless force that grinds all profits down to a bare minimum, turning business into a desperate struggle for survival. How, then, do some companies manage to escape this fate and generate exceptional, long-term returns?
This is the central question addressed in Competition Demystified by Bruce Greenwald and Judd Kahn. The book cuts through the fog of conventional business wisdom to offer a radically simplified approach to strategy. It argues that true strategy is not about inspiring visions or operational excellence, but about the cold, hard reality of competitive advantages and the barriers that protect them.
Strategy Is Not About Internal Excellence, But External Competition
Key Insight 1
Narrator: The authors begin by drawing a critical line in the sand between tactics and strategy. Tactics, they argue, are internally focused. This includes everything from improving operational efficiency and supply chains to motivating employees. While essential for survival, these are not strategy. Strategy, by definition, is outward-looking. It is concerned only with the actions and reactions of competitors. A strategic decision is one whose outcome depends on what other players in the market do.
A classic example of this distinction is IBM's entry into the personal computer market in the early 1980s. In a rush to market, IBM made a series of seemingly tactical decisions. Instead of developing its own microprocessor and operating system, it outsourced them to two small companies: Intel and Microsoft. IBM believed its brand and manufacturing prowess would secure its dominance. However, this decision had enormous strategic consequences. By using non-proprietary components, IBM created an open standard that allowed other companies to build "IBM-compatible" clones. The true beneficiaries were not IBM, but its suppliers. Microsoft and Intel, by controlling the essential "brains" of every PC, built impenetrable competitive advantages and became two of the most profitable companies in history, while IBM's own PC business struggled for decades. IBM focused on its internal execution, but it lost the strategic game by failing to properly consider the long-term reactions of the competitive landscape it was creating.
Barriers to Entry Are the Only True Defense Against Profit Erosion
Key Insight 2
Narrator: If strategy is about competition, then the most important force in any market is the existence, or absence, of barriers to entry. These are the structural advantages that allow incumbent firms to do something competitors cannot easily replicate. Without them, any success or high profit will inevitably attract new entrants, who will compete those profits away.
The book uses the American luxury car market to illustrate this point. In the 1970s, Cadillac and Lincoln dominated the market and enjoyed high profits. Their products were highly differentiated. However, these high returns attracted competitors. European brands like Mercedes and BMW entered, followed by Japanese brands like Lexus and Acura. While these new entrants didn't necessarily cause prices to fall, they fragmented the market. Each company still had to bear the high fixed costs of product development, advertising, and dealer networks, but now those costs were spread over fewer car sales. As a result, profit margins for everyone, including the original incumbents, shrank dramatically. Product differentiation was not enough to protect them. The real issue was the lack of significant barriers to entry, which allowed the market to become overcrowded until the extraordinary profits disappeared.
Genuine Competitive Advantages Arise from Supply, Demand, and Economies of Scale
Key Insight 3
Narrator: Greenwald and Kahn argue that all sustainable competitive advantages, the sources of barriers to entry, fall into just three categories.
First are supply advantages, where a company has access to a cheaper or better input that competitors cannot. This is often based on proprietary technology, but the authors caution that these advantages can be fleeting as technology diffuses.
Second are demand advantages, which are created by customer captivity. This captivity isn't about physical locks, but about powerful forces like habit, high switching costs, or high search costs. For example, finding a new doctor involves high search costs and personal risk, making patients "captive" to their current physician in a way they are not to a brand of refrigerator. This customer loyalty gives the incumbent a stable base of demand that a new entrant struggles to access.
The most powerful advantage, however, is the third type: economies of scale, especially when combined with customer captivity. This occurs when a company's cost per unit decreases as its production volume increases. Wal-Mart's rise is the quintessential example. By focusing on regional dominance in the rural South, Wal-Mart built a dense network of stores serviced by highly efficient, centralized distribution centers. This gave it lower advertising, logistics, and management costs per store than any national rival could achieve in that territory. This cost advantage, a local economy of scale, allowed it to offer "everyday low prices," which in turn captured customers and defended its market share, creating a virtuous cycle that competitors found impossible to break.
Competitor Interactions Follow Predictable Game Theory Patterns
Key Insight 4
Narrator: In markets where a few dominant players are protected by barriers to entry, strategy becomes a game of managing competitors. The book uses the "Prisoner's Dilemma" to explain these interactions. The classic example is the "Cola Wars" between Coca-Cola and Pepsi. Both companies would be most profitable if they cooperated by keeping prices high and advertising spending moderate. However, each company has an incentive to "defect" by cutting prices or launching an aggressive ad campaign to steal market share. If Pepsi cuts its price, it wins big—unless Coke retaliates and cuts its price too, in which case they both end up with the same market share but lower profits.
This dynamic explains the decades of intense, and often mutually damaging, competition. The "New Coke" fiasco in 1985 was a direct result of this game. Fearing Pepsi's sweeter taste was winning in blind taste tests, Coke defected from its own legacy and changed its formula. The move backfired spectacularly due to intense customer loyalty, a demand advantage Coke had underestimated. Ironically, after reintroducing "Coca-Cola Classic," the company ended up with two products to compete against Pepsi, turning a strategic blunder into an accidental advantage.
Successful Market Entry Requires Navigating Incumbent Reactions
Key Insight 5
Narrator: Just as incumbents play games to manage competition, new entrants must play a careful game to get into a protected market. An aggressive, head-on assault is likely to trigger a devastating response from established players. The book advocates for a more subtle approach, as exemplified by Fox Broadcasting's entry into the television network business in the 1980s.
At the time, ABC, CBS, and NBC formed a cozy oligopoly. Rupert Murdoch's Fox did not try to challenge them across the board. Instead, it adopted a quiet, incremental strategy. It began by programming only on weekends and targeting a younger, down-market audience with edgy shows like Married... with Children—an audience the "Big Three" largely ignored. This signaled to the incumbents that Fox was not an immediate, existential threat. By targeting a niche and spreading its limited impact across all three networks, Fox made it more costly for the incumbents to fight a war than to simply let them join the club. This "boil the frog slowly" approach allowed Fox to establish a foothold before it had the strength to compete more broadly.
A Strategic Approach to Valuation Reveals the True Worth of Competitive Advantages
Key Insight 6
Narrator: Finally, the authors argue that this strategic framework should fundamentally change how companies are valued. They critique the standard Net Present Value (NPV) model for being overly reliant on highly speculative, long-term forecasts. Instead, they propose a three-step valuation process.
First, calculate the Asset Value of a company, which is the reproduction cost of its assets. Second, calculate its Earnings Power Value (EPV), which is its current, sustainable earnings capitalized into a single value, assuming no growth. The third and most crucial step is the comparison. If a company's EPV is significantly higher than its Asset Value, it is a clear sign that the company possesses a strong competitive advantage—it is earning far more than its physical assets would suggest. If the two values are roughly equal, the company is on a level playing field with no real advantage. This strategic valuation method makes the existence and strength of a competitive advantage, the true driver of long-term value, the central focus of any investment decision.
Conclusion
Narrator: The single most important takeaway from Competition Demystified is that strategy is a discipline of focus, not expansion. The relentless pursuit of growth, so often chanted in boardrooms, is frequently a path to ruin. True, sustainable value is not created by being everywhere, but by dominating somewhere. The goal is to identify or create a local market—be it geographic or product-based—where genuine barriers to entry can be built and defended.
The book challenges us to discard vague mission statements and instead ask a series of brutally simple questions: What is our market? Do we have a competitive advantage there? If so, what is its source—supply, demand, or economies of scale? And what are we doing every single day to strengthen the barriers that protect it? Answering these questions honestly is the first and most critical step in demystifying competition and building a strategy that endures.