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A City on Mars

10 min

Can We Settle Space, Should We Settle Space, and Have We Really Thought This Through?

Introduction

Narrator: In 2020, users of SpaceX's new Starlink internet service discovered a startling clause buried in the terms of service. It declared that for services on Mars, or in transit to Mars, the parties would recognize Mars as a free planet where "no Earth-based government has authority or sovereignty over Martian activities." The clause went viral, fueling a narrative that a private corporation could simply declare its independence from terrestrial law. But is it that simple? Can a company unilaterally write the laws for a new world? This question cuts to the heart of the grand, romantic, and often dangerously misleading vision of humanity's future in space. In their book, A City on Mars, authors Kelly and Zach Weinersmith dismantle these popular myths, providing a deeply researched and soberingly realistic guide to the true challenges of settling the final frontier.

The Seductive Myths of Space Settlement

Key Insight 1

Narrator: The public discourse around space settlement is dominated by powerful, optimistic narratives that often crumble under scrutiny. These myths promise that space will be a convenient escape hatch from a dying Earth, a source of untold riches, or a crucible that will forge a better version of humanity. The Weinersmiths argue that these visions are not just unrealistic; they are based on a fundamental misunderstanding of how inhospitable space truly is.

A 2015 Newsweek article, for example, painted a dystopian picture of a "Star Wars" class war, where the ultra-rich escape to Mars, leaving the poor to suffer on a collapsing Earth. This idea, while compelling, ignores a crucial fact: even a climate-ravaged, conflict-ridden Earth is infinitely more hospitable than Mars. As the authors starkly put it, "Staying alive on Earth requires fire and a pointy stick. Staying alive in space will require all sorts of high-tech gadgets we can barely manufacture on Earth." The notion that Mars is a luxury bunker for the 1 percent is a fantasy. In reality, it would be a brutal, high-tech prison where a single cracked helmet or malfunctioning life-support system means instant death. These myths matter because they distract from the real, and far more difficult, conversations we need to have about the true costs and benefits of space exploration.

The Human Body: Space's Greatest Unsolved Problem

Key Insight 2

Narrator: While engineering challenges like building bigger rockets capture the public imagination, the most significant barrier to long-term space settlement may be the fragility of the human body. We have very little data on how ordinary people, not just elite, peak-fitness astronauts, would fare after years in space. The known effects are already daunting: microgravity causes severe bone density loss, muscle atrophy, and vision problems. Cosmic radiation dramatically increases cancer risk, and its long-term effects on the brain and reproductive system are largely unknown.

Furthermore, the argument that space travel will ennoble humanity and grant us a profound "overview effect" of wisdom is not supported by evidence. The Weinersmiths point to a history of astronaut misdeeds, from petty feuds to serious crimes, to illustrate that spacefarers are, in the end, still human. In 2022, a public feud erupted on Twitter between former American astronaut Scott Kelly and Dmitry Rogozin, the head of Russia's space agency. Amid geopolitical tensions, the two exchanged bitter insults, with Kelly telling Rogozin he could "find a job at McDonald's if McDonald's still exists in Russia." This incident serves as a potent reminder that space is not a magical cure for human conflict or tribalism. Before we can build a society on Mars, we must first figure out if the human body and mind can even survive the journey, let alone thrive in such an alien environment.

Pocket Edens: The Delusion of a Self-Sustaining Space Terrarium

Key Insight 3

Narrator: A core requirement for any off-world settlement is self-sufficiency. Relying on constant, expensive shipments from Earth is not a sustainable model. This means settlers must create a "closed-loop" ecosystem—a perfect, miniature Earth that recycles all air, water, and waste while producing enough food to support its population. The most famous attempt to achieve this, the Biosphere 2 experiment in the 1990s, serves as a chilling cautionary tale.

In Arizona, eight "biospherians" were sealed inside a 3.14-acre glass enclosure, designed to be a self-sustaining world. The project was a spectacular failure. Oxygen levels plummeted mysteriously, forcing engineers to pump it in from the outside to prevent the crew from suffocating. The crew was constantly hungry, as pollinating insects died off and crops failed. They resorted to eating their seed stock, dooming future harvests. Worse, the psychological strain of isolation and deprivation caused the crew to split into two warring factions who refused to speak to one another. As one biospherian, Jane Poynter, later reflected, "I wondered if people are really meant to be enclosed in small spaces... The human species, after all, did not evolve indoors." Biosphere 2 proved that we are nowhere near mastering the science of creating a stable, artificial ecosystem. The dream of a comfortable, self-sufficient dome on Mars remains, for now, a scientific fantasy.

Lawless Heavens: The Coming Crisis in Space Governance

Key Insight 4

Narrator: The 1967 Outer Space Treaty, the foundational document of space law, was designed for a different era. It successfully prohibited nations from placing nuclear weapons in orbit and making sovereign claims on celestial bodies like the Moon. However, it is vague, outdated, and ill-equipped to handle the coming era of space capitalism and resource extraction. This legal vacuum is creating a high-stakes "Wild West" environment.

The Weinersmiths point to the US-led Artemis Accords as a prime example of this looming crisis. The accords allow signatory nations to establish "safety zones" around their lunar operations. While framed as a measure to prevent operational interference, these zones could easily become de facto claims on territory, especially in high-value areas like the "Peaks of Eternal Light"—lunar regions in near-constant sunlight, perfect for solar power. Since these peaks make up only a tiny fraction of the lunar surface, a single country or company could occupy them all, effectively locking out the rest of humanity. This approach directly challenges the treaty's spirit of space as a "province of all mankind" and sets the stage for a zero-sum scramble for resources, risking conflict and undermining the international cooperation necessary for a peaceful future in space.

The Martian Company Town: A Recipe for Dystopia

Key Insight 5

Narrator: If a settlement on Mars is ever established, it will almost certainly begin as a "company town," wholly owned and operated by a single corporation like SpaceX. The Weinersmiths draw on grim historical parallels on Earth to warn of the dangers this model presents. In a terrestrial company town, the company is the employer, the landlord, the grocer, and the government. This creates an extreme power imbalance that has historically led to exploitation and violence.

This imbalance would be magnified exponentially on Mars, where the company wouldn't just own the houses; it would own the air. A corporation would have absolute control over every aspect of a settler's life, from food rations and housing allocation to the very composition of the breathable atmosphere. The authors recount the 1921 Battle of Blair Mountain in West Virginia, where a coal company hired private planes to drop bombs on striking miners and their families. This horrific event shows the lengths a company will go to protect its control. In the lethal environment of Mars, where a labor strike could be interpreted as a threat to the entire habitat's survival, the potential for corporate abuse is immense. Without robust legal protections and a plan for governance beyond corporate decree, the first Martian city could easily become the first Martian dictatorship.

Conclusion

Narrator: The central, unavoidable takeaway from A City on Mars is that the greatest obstacles to settling space are not technological, but biological, legal, and social. We are not being held back by a lack of powerful rockets, but by our profound ignorance about long-term space physiology, our dangerously outdated legal frameworks, and our naive assumptions about human behavior under extreme pressure. The Weinersmiths argue compellingly that the current rush to colonize space, driven by billionaire visionaries and nationalistic pride, is putting the cart light-years before the horse.

The book leaves us with a challenging question: Is the frantic pursuit of a "Plan B" on Mars a wise investment in humanity's future, or is it a colossal and dangerous distraction from the urgent work of preserving Plan A? Before we commit to building a city on another world, we must first be brutally honest about whether we have truly thought through what it will take to survive there, and what kind of society we might be creating if we succeed.

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